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Coldest Winter
Beneath the headline surface, the situation looks dire for Ukraine.

Karl Johansson
10 aug.3 min läsning


Round 3
The US and Iran are fighting again. Will anything change with a third round?

Karl Johansson
13 juli3 min läsning


Ukraine War Check-In
What's the latest in Ukraine, has anything fundamentally changed?

Karl Johansson
29 juni3 min läsning


Memorandum of Misunderstandings
Will the MOU hold? If not, why not?

Karl Johansson
22 juni3 min läsning


The Tipping Point
There will be a point when the prospect of salvaging the mid term elections is no longer possible at which point a return to war is a more palatable proposition. Tick tock.

Karl Johansson
15 juni4 min läsning


Why There Won't Be A Deal To End the Iran War
There won't be a deal until there has been more fighting, and anyone claiming otherwise is wrong.

Karl Johansson
25 maj4 min läsning


Is the War in Ukraine Ending?
Putin says the war is going to be over soon, should we believe him?

Karl Johansson
11 maj3 min läsning


Post-Hormuz Navies
With the war in Iran and the twin blockades we are entering a new era in naval history.

Karl Johansson
4 maj3 min läsning


It Ain't Over 'til the Fat Lady Sings
TACO Tuesday is not the end of the story. The war in Iran is not over yet, and likely won't be until there has been another round of fighting.

Karl Johansson
13 apr.9 min läsning


Multipolarity & the Need for Prestige
The move from a bipolar to a multipolar world has made international prestige one of the most important drivers for states to act.

Karl Johansson
6 apr.4 min läsning


The Mystery of Why the Iran War Happened
Why did the US start a war that it cannot win? Stupidity is too simple an explanation, or is it?

Karl Johansson
30 mars3 min läsning


Ukraine & Iran
The war in Iran will make the war in Ukraine more difficult for Kyiv.

Karl Johansson
16 mars3 min läsning


The US Cannot Win the War in Iran
Trump's options in Iran are to lose or to lose.

Karl Johansson
9 mars4 min läsning


Thoughts on the Iran War
Israel and the US has started a war in Iran, here are some possible second order effects.

Karl Johansson
2 mars4 min läsning


What Does Trump Want from Iran?
The US is negotiating with Iran and threatening it without seeming to have figured out what it is asking for. That's asking for trouble.

Karl Johansson
23 feb.3 min läsning


Slowly, Then All at Once
The fact that the front line is barely moving does not mean that nothing is happening in the war.

Karl Johansson
16 feb.5 min läsning


Escalation Spirals
Where does the fracas over Greenland end?

Karl Johansson
26 jan.3 min läsning


The New International Disorder
The liberal international order is dying, and it is not Trump's fault.

Karl Johansson
12 jan.3 min läsning


Winter is Coming
Ukraine has handled past war winters well. Will it be able to continue doing so?

Karl Johansson
3 nov. 20253 min läsning


Russia's Coming Post-War Growth
Russia's economy is not doomed to suffer after the war.

Karl Johansson
29 sep. 20254 min läsning
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