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It Ain't Over 'til the Fat Lady Sings
TACO Tuesday is not the end of the story. The war in Iran is not over yet, and likely won't be until there has been another round of fighting.

Karl Johansson
13 apr.9 min läsning


Multipolarity & the Need for Prestige
The move from a bipolar to a multipolar world has made international prestige one of the most important drivers for states to act.

Karl Johansson
6 apr.4 min läsning


The Mystery of Why the Iran War Happened
Why did the US start a war that it cannot win? Stupidity is too simple an explanation, or is it?

Karl Johansson
30 mars3 min läsning


Ukraine & Iran
The war in Iran will make the war in Ukraine more difficult for Kyiv.

Karl Johansson
16 mars3 min läsning


The US Cannot Win the War in Iran
Trump's options in Iran are to lose or to lose.

Karl Johansson
9 mars4 min läsning


Thoughts on the Iran War
Israel and the US has started a war in Iran, here are some possible second order effects.

Karl Johansson
2 mars4 min läsning


What Does Trump Want from Iran?
The US is negotiating with Iran and threatening it without seeming to have figured out what it is asking for. That's asking for trouble.

Karl Johansson
23 feb.3 min läsning


Slowly, Then All at Once
The fact that the front line is barely moving does not mean that nothing is happening in the war.

Karl Johansson
16 feb.5 min läsning


Escalation Spirals
Where does the fracas over Greenland end?

Karl Johansson
26 jan.3 min läsning


The New International Disorder
The liberal international order is dying, and it is not Trump's fault.

Karl Johansson
12 jan.3 min läsning


Winter is Coming
Ukraine has handled past war winters well. Will it be able to continue doing so?

Karl Johansson
3 nov. 20253 min läsning


Russia's Coming Post-War Growth
Russia's economy is not doomed to suffer after the war.

Karl Johansson
29 sep. 20254 min läsning


Why Did Russia Violate NATO Airspace?
Is it reckless or 4D chess on Putin's part?

Karl Johansson
22 sep. 20254 min läsning


The Game Theory of NATO
The game theory of NATO doesn't make sense.

Karl Johansson
15 sep. 20253 min läsning


Why Wasn't the EU Invited to Alaska?
Why didn't Trump invited Europe to the talks in Alaska, and how could such a major player be sidelined?

Karl Johansson
25 aug. 20253 min läsning


Fool Trump Once...
Trump and Putin are going to meet in Alaska to try to negotiate a peace in Ukraine. Their relationship is far more interesting than whatever they will be discussing.

Karl Johansson
11 aug. 20253 min läsning


Zelensky & Corruption
Ukraine is becoming more like Russia. A clear win for Putin.

Karl Johansson
28 juli 20252 min läsning


Putin's Pal
Trump reversed the decision not to sell Ukraine weapons, but he is still helping his pal Putin.

Karl Johansson
21 juli 20253 min läsning


Israel-Iran War
What to make of the Israel-Iran war? In the night between June 12th and June 13th Israel made its move and started large scale aerial...

Karl Johansson
23 juni 20254 min läsning


Blowing Bridges
Westen media seems institutionally pro-Ukraine biased. Here is why that could be a problem.

Karl Johansson
2 juni 20253 min läsning
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