There is a lot of speculation about if Putin will be ousted over the debacle in Ukraine. He's not going to, here's why:

Why would Putin blow up the pipeline when he controls the on and off button?

Is partial mobilisation a sign of complete desperation in Moscow?

Ukraine is launching a counter-offensive, will it change anything?

There was considerable hype surrounding the sanctions on Russia at the start of the war, but now you seldom hear about them. Did they work?

HIMARS is an important system which has helped Ukraine , but it is also an obvious sign of how dependent Ukraine is on foreign assistance.

NATO's Madrid summit put all of the alliance’s faults on display, and yet the media narrative surrounding it is that it was a success.

There's a contingent of people who think Ukraine will be able to withstand Russia's attack and actually win the war. Is that realistic?

Turkey's actions after Sweden and Finland finally applied to join NATO prove my thesis that the alliance is getting less relevant each year.

Arming Ukraine seems to be seen as the right thing to do as well as the best policy option. It might be a bit more complicated than that.

Most people seem to think that Russia hasn't been doing well so far in the war with Ukraine. What are the consequences of that?

Why doesn't Putin care about the civilian casualties in Ukraine when he has said that Russians and Ukrainians are brothers?

Western media thinks the invasion was either a strategic mistake due to a miscalculation or an irrational crime of passion. I disagree.

Half-assing being tough in the Ukraine crisis hands the Kremlin a propaganda victory.

Why there isn’t a new cold war brewing, and why that framing causes problems.

Russia has troops at the border with Ukraine which has renewed the NATO debate in Sweden, here's why Sweden absolutely shouldn't join.

I made some bold predictions of what was going to happen last year; how wrong was I?

Another year, another set of predictions. The definitive* guide to 2022. *Citation Needed

Was the optics of a failed retreat from Afghanistan was a potent symbol for the war or a stain on an otherwise productive intervention?

Want to know what's to come? Here's are my guesses!