Like fresh fruits and vegetables, international institutions have a limited shelf life after which they cannot be saved.

Why did Hamas attack?

Ukraine's model of warfighting faces a serious test in the form of disinterest and incompetence from its supporters.

Russia may look weak right now but that's a recession, not a new normal.

Ukraine's strategy of attacking Russian cities with drones is counter-productive, as Ukraine should know better than anyone.

The current military balance of power clearly favors the defender. What does that mean for the war in Ukraine?

Has the West and Ukraine really considered what sending cluster bombs to Ukraine really means?

Don’t let the headlines fool you, things aren’t as rosy as they seem in NATO.

Rumours of Putins imminent demise are greatly exaggerated.

The debt ceiling crisis looks to be averted; Kyiv can breathe a sigh of relief.

Zelensky loses if he doesn't counter attack, and he loses if his counter-offensive fails. The only way forward is diplomatic.

Macron is right, the EU should stay out of the Taiwan conflict.

Strategic ambiguity was a policy for a different time. Now it worsens Taiwan's and the US' security rather than enhancing it.

Did Covid come from a lab or a market? Who cares?

Ukraine has done remarkably well in the war, why is that and will it continue in 2023?

There is no Sino-American cold war, and if we're careful we can keep it that way. There are always many models for understanding the...

Is it NATO’s time to shine? Or is the alliance in a deepening downwards spiral?

The Ipoleco Definitive Guide* to 2023.

Did the Definitive Guide to 2022* live up to its name?

Like many others my predictions about the war in Ukraine has frequently been wrong. What did I overlook?